M31 Research Brief · Sector Deep Dive · February 2026

The Alternative Healthcare Complex

Five sub-sectors. Forty-plus live players. $1.5 trillion in addressable market by 2034. The most comprehensive map of the alternative healthcare investment landscape — from psychedelics to longevity biotech.

Nathan James Montone·40 Min Read·Industry-Level Analysis

I. The Landscape

Goldman Sachs once asked, in an internal memo that leaked: "Is curing patients a sustainable business model?" The question was not rhetorical. It was a genuine strategic concern — because in the $4.5 trillion U.S. healthcare economy, chronic disease is the product, not the problem.

Alternative healthcare is the answer the market is building. Not a single sector but a convergent ecosystem — psychedelic therapeutics, longevity biotech, functional medicine, integrative care networks, peptide therapies, and the digital health infrastructure layer that connects them — alternative healthcare represents the most investable structural shift in medicine since the pharmaceutical revolution of the 1960s.

The U.S. complementary and alternative medicine market reached $52.8 billion in 2025, growing at a 27.8% CAGR toward $375 billion by 2033. The global psychedelic therapeutics market: $2.94 billion, projected to $11 billion by 2034. Longevity biotech has attracted $4.8 billion since 2021. This deep dive maps the competitive landscape across five sub-sectors, identifies live players, and defines entry windows.


II. Psychedelic Therapeutics

Sector Overview
2025 Market Size $2.94B
2034 Projected $11.03B
CAGR 15.8%
North America Share 52%
Key Catalyst 2026 Phase 3 readouts

Depression affects 280 million people globally. Treatment-resistant depression afflicts ~30% of those on conventional antidepressants. Psychedelic-assisted therapy has demonstrated efficacy that traditional psychiatry cannot match: single-dose protocols producing durable remission in patients who failed every other intervention. 2026 is the pivotal year — multiple Phase 3 readouts, potential first FDA approvals, and escalating state-level access programs.

Definium Therapeutics (MindMed) · MNMD INVEST

Market cap ~$1.4B. Lead candidate MM120, an LSD analogue, earned FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation after Phase 2b data showed 65% response and 48% remission in GAD from a single dose — published in JAMA. Three Phase 3 readouts in 2026. Also advancing MM402 (MDMA-inspired) for autism. Stock +83.5% over 52 weeks. Closed $259M offering in November 2025 — the largest psychedelic financing of the year.

Entry thesis: Broadest pipeline and most diversified 2026 catalyst calendar in the sector. Nearest-term re-rating potential.
Compass Pathways · CMPS INVEST

Lead candidate COMP360, proprietary psilocybin polymorph with FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation for TRD. Positive Phase 3 results mid-2025; second pivotal study in 2026. Expanding into PTSD and anorexia nervosa. The benchmark company — but therapy model is intensive, costly, and raises scalability questions.

Risk: Scalability of the delivery model. If approved, who delivers it? Clinical overhead is the binding constraint, not the molecule.
Helus Pharma (Cybin) · HELP INVEST

Relisted Nasdaq January 2026. Deuterated psilocybin HLP003 in Phase 3 for MDD. Phase 2 showed 100% responder rates, 71% remission with two doses. Closed $175M offering October 2025. Strong IP + partnerships with Osmind and Thermo Fisher. C$135M cash.

Entry thesis: Best-in-class Phase 2 data in the sector. Deuterated compound may offer superior PK profile.
GH Research · GHRS WATCH

Lead candidate GH001, inhaled mebufotenin (5-MeO-DMT) for TRD. Key differentiator: dramatically shorter session duration vs. oral psilocybin, potentially solving the scalability bottleneck. Phase 2b study — clinical hold lifted January 2026.

Risk: Clinical hold history introduces uncertainty. If the short-acting model works, it redefines psychedelic therapy economics.
AtaiBeckley (Atai Life Sciences) · ATAI WATCH

Platform model backing multiple psychedelic biotechs. BPL-003 advancing to Phase 3; EMP-01 and VLS-01 Phase 2 readouts in 2026. Landmark Otsuka collaboration on R-ketamine — the first big pharma deal in the sector. $149.5M offering October 2025. Peter Thiel-backed.

The Otsuka partnership is the signal: when Japanese big pharma pays for access, the sector has crossed a credibility threshold.
Enveric Biosciences AVOID

$3M market cap. Non-hallucinogenic psychedelic compounds. Interesting science but lacks capital, pipeline maturity, or institutional backing to survive the development timeline. Penny stock with dilution risk.

Sector Phase Phase 4–5 · Ridicule → Opposition · OPTIMAL ENTRY

III. Longevity Biotech

Sector Overview
Capital Deployed (2021–25) $4.8B+
Projected Market (2030) $350–600B
Investment Horizon 5–15 years
Key Backer Archetype Tech billionaires (Bezos, Altman, Armstrong)

If aging is a biological process driven by identifiable molecular mechanisms, then aging is modifiable. The 14 hallmarks of aging are now druggable targets. AI is compressing the discovery timeline. But the sector had an uneven 2025 — Unity Biotechnology shuttered, AbbVie ended its Calico collaboration. The field is consolidating around scientifically serious players. For informed investors, that creates the entry window.

Altos Labs · Private INVEST

The anchor position. $3B+ in capital from Jeff Bezos, Yuri Milner. Demonstrated partial epigenetic reprogramming extends lifespan in mice (published 2024). Joan Mannick appointed CMO — signaling clinical-stage ambitions. Preparing human trials in 2026. Arguably the most talented scientific team in aging research history, including Nobel laureate Shinya Yamanaka.

This is a paradigm bet, not a drug bet. Risk proportional to reward. Access: private secondary market or fund exposure.
Retro Biosciences · Private INVEST

Backed by $180M from Sam Altman. Partnered with OpenAI for 50x reprogramming efficiency gains. First human trial underway: RTR242 (autophagy pill targeting Alzheimer's). Approaching $5B valuation with planned $1B raise. Positioned at the intersection of longevity and AI — two paradigm shifts converging.

The AI angle is the differentiator. If AI accelerates aging research like AlphaFold accelerated protein folding, the valuation is justifiable.
Insilico Medicine · Private INVEST

AI-driven drug discovery focused on aging targets. Achieved the single most important milestone in longevity biotech in 2025: first AI-discovered, AI-designed drug to complete a successful Phase 2a trial (idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis). Pharma.AI platform producing candidates across multiple age-related indications.

The proof of concept for AI-accelerated longevity drug development. This is the company that proved the model works.
NewLimit · Private WATCH

Co-founded by Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong. $130M Series B (2025) for epigenetic reprogramming. Starting with liver disease. Backed by Khosla Ventures. Earlier stage than Altos or Retro but with strong founder conviction.

BioAge Labs · BIOA AVOID

Despite best-in-class aging datasets (50+ year cohorts) and blue-chip backers (Lilly Ventures, Amgen, a16z, Novartis), lead candidate azelaprag discontinued December 2024 after liver toxicity. Shares cratered ~80% since IPO. Novartis partnership ($530M potential) provides optionality.

Potential re-entry: if Novartis collaboration yields a viable candidate. Aging datasets remain unmatched.
Sector Phase Phase 3 · Scientific Unlock · EARLY — 5–15yr Horizon

IV. Functional Medicine & Integrative Care

Sector Overview
U.S. Alt Healthcare Providers 308K businesses · $37.8B
Functional Medicine Testing (2026) $8.12B → $15.3B by 2033
Key Unlock Insurance coverage expansion

The real story is convergence with mainstream healthcare. Cleveland Clinic partnered with Amazon One Medical. Hospitals are integrating acupuncture, chiropractic, and nutritional therapy into standard care pathways. Prevention is cheaper than treatment — and the economics are becoming irresistible.

Thorne HealthTech · THRN INVEST

Publicly traded supplement and health testing company. Professional-grade nutritional supplements + at-home testing. Mayo Clinic partnership. Revenue-generating, profitable. The infrastructure play — whoever wins in functional medicine will likely use Thorne's products.

Hims & Hers Health · HIMS INVEST

Telehealth platform expanding aggressively into GLP-1 prescriptions, hormone optimization, and wellness therapeutics. Market cap ~$5B. Sitting at the intersection of telemedicine, consumer wellness, and alternative delivery. Platform model is the moat.

Risk: Regulatory uncertainty around compounded GLP-1s — the FDA crackdown directly threatens a growth vector.
Rupa Health · Private WATCH

Lab testing aggregation platform for functional medicine practitioners. Connects practitioners to 35+ specialty labs through a single portal. "Stripe for functional medicine lab testing" thesis. Early stage, genuine infrastructure gap.

Sector Phase Phase 5 · Opposition → Inevitability · Awaiting Insurance Catalyst

V. Peptide Therapeutics

Sector Overview
Global Peptide Market (2022) $39B+
GLP-1 Dominance Novo Nordisk + Eli Lilly
Regulatory Shift Compounding → FDA pathway

The regulatory landscape shifted dramatically in 2025. The FDA restricted compounding pharmacies; state AGs launched enforcement. The message: peptide therapies will go through formal drug development. This creates winners (companies with FDA pipelines) and losers (compounding pharmacies).

Eli Lilly · LLY INVEST

The incumbent gorilla. Tirzepatide (Mounjaro/Zepbound) generating transformative revenue. Acquired Metsera (GLP-1 pipeline expansion). $6B investment in U.S. peptide API manufacturing. Acquired Verve Therapeutics' PCSK9 gene editor for $1B — a one-time cholesterol injection. Building infrastructure to dominate the compounded → regulated transition.

Novo Nordisk · NVO INVEST

Semaglutide franchise (Ozempic, Wegovy, Rybelsus). Oral semaglutide OASIS-4 demonstrated comparable weight-loss to injectables — massive market expansion. Aggressive legal defense of franchise. Vocal interest in longevity pathways at ARDD 2025.

Compounding Pharmacies / Peptide Sellers AVOID

FDA January 2025 enforcement + state AG actions have fundamentally impaired the compounding model for peptide therapeutics. "Research-grade" disclaimers do not insulate from liability. The era of regulatory tolerance is over.

Sector Phase Phase 6 (GLP-1s) · Phase 4 (Broader Peptides) · Split Strategy

VI. Digital Health Infrastructure

Every sub-sector requires a digital layer: telemedicine for psychedelic therapy, AI diagnostics for functional medicine, data platforms for longevity biotech. 46% of all healthcare venture investment in 2025 went to AI-related deals.

Tempus AI · TEM INVEST

AI-powered precision medicine platform with genomic sequencing and clinical data analytics. Platform model — connecting genomic data to clinical decisions — is directly applicable across all of alternative healthcare. The data infrastructure play.

Osmind · Private WATCH

EHR platform designed specifically for psychedelic therapy and ketamine clinics. Partners with Helus Pharma. If psychedelic therapy is FDA-approved, Osmind is the infrastructure layer for clinical delivery. First-mover advantage.


VII. TAM Analysis & Market Map

Sub-Sector 2025 Market 2034 Projected CAGR Phase
CAM (Global) $193B $1,283B 23.6% 5
CAM (U.S.) $52.8B $375B 27.8% 5
Psychedelic Therapeutics $2.94B $11B 15.8% 4–5
Longevity Biotech $4.8B invested $350–600B — 3
Functional Med Testing $8.12B $15.3B 5.9% 5
Peptide Therapeutics $39B+ Accelerating — 4–6
Combined TAM $1.5T+

VIII. The Portfolio Construction

Tier 1 — High Conviction · Overweight
Definium / MindMed (MNMD) Broadest pipeline, nearest catalysts
Eli Lilly (LLY) Peptide dominance + longevity acquisitions
Insilico Medicine (Private) AI drug discovery proof of concept
Tier 2 — Conviction · Market Weight
Compass Pathways (CMPS) Category leader, scalability discounted
Helus Pharma (HELP) Best Phase 2 data, Q4 catalyst
Novo Nordisk (NVO) GLP-1 franchise + oral expansion
Hims & Hers (HIMS) Platform play on alt-healthcare delivery
Thorne HealthTech (THRN) Functional medicine infrastructure
Tier 3 — Speculative / Watch List
GH Research (GHRS) Short-acting psychedelic — high risk/reward
AtaiBeckley (ATAI) Platform + Otsuka — diversified
Altos Labs / Retro Bio / NewLimit Private longevity — fund access
Tempus AI (TEM) Cross-sector data infrastructure
Avoid
Enveric Biosciences Undercapitalized, sub-critical
BioAge Labs (BIOA) Pipeline impaired — re-eval on Novartis data
Compounding pharmacies Existential regulatory risk
IX. The Verdict

Invest Across the Alternative Healthcare Complex

Psychedelic therapeutics offers the nearest-term catalysts with asymmetric risk/reward. Longevity biotech offers the largest TAM but requires a 5–15 year horizon. Functional medicine is the steady compounder. Peptide therapeutics is best accessed through the incumbents who will capture the compounded-to-regulated transition.

The structural thesis: the $4.5 trillion U.S. healthcare system was built to treat disease. The next $1+ trillion will be built to prevent it.

The investment window is the 2–3 year period before consensus forms — which is now.